Jay C. Shambaugh

@JayCShambaugh

Director of The Hamilton Project. Professor of Economics & International Affairs at GWU. former Member of President Obama's Council of Economic Advisers. He/him

Vrijeme pridruživanja: rujan 2011.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    30. sij

    Thanks to our amazing set of authors for their contributions to this new book on tax policy, as well as to all the panelists at our event on Tuesday. You can get a copy of the book here:

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    The U.S. raises an historically low level of federal revenue—less than is needed for valuable public investments & fiscal needs. We can raise additional revenue in equitable & efficient ways.

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  3. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 20 sati

    While we’re on the topic, a reminder that the tight labor market has indeed been responsible for most of the wage acceleration at the bottom, but that began in 2014 or so And state & local minimum wage hikes explain most of the low wage *over*performance

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  4. One reason wages are rising for those at the bottom of the income distribution is a long economic expansion. Another is state and local minimum wage increases. See piece below by and me.

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    prije 21 sat

    New SNAP work requirement rules have weakened the safety net and will make it harder to combat the next recession. More on work requirements: & a proposal to strengthen SNAP as an automatic stabilizer:

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    In a new episode of the , & discuss new ideas to raise more revenue through tax reform. Listen now:

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    1. velj

    Charts of the Week: Ideas for raising revenue via

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    Check out board member Antonio Weiss's recent paper on financial transaction taxes for

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij

    I had the chance to interview on about his views on why we need a progressive reform of our tax system and his new paper with . Podcast and transcript available here.

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij

    On January 28, Hamilton Project Director  interviewed (of Harvard University) during an episode of the Cafeteria podcast. Hear the full interview now:

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij

    On a new episode of the : 1️⃣ answers a student question about the Iowa caucuses. 2️⃣ interviews Larry Summers about reforming the tax code. 3️⃣ Meet new Rubenstein Fellow Matt Collin ()

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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij

    ECI private wages & salaries came in at 2.97% Y-Y for Q4. That's w/i reasonable confidence intervals of the relationship b/t ECI and prime-age EPOP since 1994, but that's also the fourth quarter in a row that's been on the weak side of that relationship, & biggest miss of the 4.

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  14. 31. sij

    Wages up far less in the ECI data than rising epop would suggest. Last 4 quarters: rising employment rates, but wage growth not accelerating. The relationship has held really well for a long time, so this may be a blip, but notable. Also hard to argue no slack w/ this wage growth

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  15. 31. sij

    I had the chance to interview on about his views on why we need a progressive reform of our tax system and his new paper with . Podcast and transcript available here.

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  16. 31. sij

    This is a really nice thread from click through to the end. The last 2 figures are really good. Imports grew pretty fast over the last three years, but that slowed & reversed in 2019, offsetting some of the domestic demand slowdown.

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  17. 30. sij
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  18. 30. sij

    Consumers doing their part, though not super fast growth (2.6% over last year) Firms, though, not. Non residential investment FELL over the last year Combined, non government domestic demand weaker over 4q of 2019 than any year since 2009 (data of course subject to revision)

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  19. 30. sij

    Also worth noting. Real Final Sales to Private Domestic Purchasers (which is a good read of underlying domestic demand momentum) came in at 1.4%. Lowest rate since a dip in 2015:Q4, and was just 2.2% for the year, the lowest q4/q4 rate for a year since 2009.

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  20. 30. sij

    Growth over the 4 quarters of 2019 2.3%. Reasonable, but not spectacular. Down from 2.5% in 2018 and 2.8% in 2019 2.1% in the 4th quarter. Big boost from net exports and government spending, drag from inventories. Non Res fixed investment FELL 1.5%.

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