2 My main bkgrnd on debates is story from last month: http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/10/who-will-win/497561/ … Also this post today with some updateshttp://www.theatlantic.com/notes/2016/10/20-days-to-go-death-with-dignity/504644/ …
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3 Chris Wallace on now: my money is on him playing it as straight (ie, non-Fox-ish) as possible. In terms of his long-term rep ...
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4 … he has a lot to gain by “serious” approach, a lot to lose (long term) by seeming to rep Hannity wing of Fox.
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5 Comparable Q about DJT: Is it conceivable that he will go “high-road,” restrained, statesmanlike? Hard to imagine. I am guessing: spasm.
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6 How many seconds before Trump says “Scalia”? I am guessing <10 seconds
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7 What we’re seeing from HRC at this second: the way you take whatever is the premise of the Q and say, “What we really need to discuss.."
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8 In the first debate, DJT seemed *completely* unaware that he was on camera while HRC was talking. Someone has reminded him. But struggling
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9 Was about to say, “how long before HRC gets to Garland,” but she just did
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10. “The Supreme Court is what it’s all about.” 2 surprises in DJT answer: first, gets RBG in there quickly. Second, where is Scalia?
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11 Strangely subdued first answer from DJT. Entirely out of character with the past ten days. NO SCALIA!!!
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12 Good for C Wallace, in getting into specific cases, Heller et all. DJT is thinking, What? They didn’t say this would be on the test!
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13 HRC went to Yale law school, answering Qs like this for 40+ years.
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14 This is a Trump we have not seen for a very long time. Subject-terrain on this Q doesn’t favor him, but usually would bluster through
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15 All of DJT’s answers, when he doesn’t know substance, boil down to: (a) things are terrible (b) I am strong (c) I will make great deals
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16 With his and-what-then line of Qs right now, C Wallace replicating C Matthews’s very effective town-hall Q of DJT on abortion ...
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17 … making him confront the contradictions and unintended consequences of positions that he has embraced as *stances* rather than policies
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18 So far: DJT tired, almost tranquilized; HRC also has had enough of this, but plugging along; CW excellent prep and tough logical pursuit
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19 We’ve descended into “Donald” and “Hillary” from the two candidates. I guess it could be a lot uglier but don’t recall this ...
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20 … from both sides before. (HRC has long been saying “Donald,” apparently as way to needly him.)
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21 It’s been quite a while since we have heard about The Wall from DJT. Accident? “Strategy”? We’ll hear now...
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22 Fascinating in shift from abortion topic to immigration: Now DJT is on terrain where he has give a little segment of his standard speech
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23 And if you’ve heard any of his speeches, that is what we’re getting right now, re immig and the wall. SNIFF!
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24 “We have some bad hombres here” The long-awaited pivot for the Latino vote!
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25 Meta-note, 25% of the way in: the country is tired of this, and so are the candidates. So am I! But admiration to Chris Wallace so far
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26 Additional meta note: This is the first time when body language seems to suggest that Trump releases he’s going to lose
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27 Example #29,187: HRC sticks a little dart into him, like a picador, and HE CANNOT RESIST. He is tired, but will respond EVERY time
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28 HRC is thinking, DAMMIT, I have to keep giving these actual answers for another 65 minutes ...
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29 If you compare transcript of this debate (first 30 mins) w first 2, and DJT’s speeches, there is zero forward movement on factual info
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30 DJT’s struggle *not* to overreact, mug, grimace, etc while he is being criticized (and knowing he’s on camera) is high drama.
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31 “Putin said nice things about me.” That *really* is what it comes down to from DJT. He’s reverting to type now. Tranks wearing off
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