This superb article illustrates critical-reasoning skills that are also at the heart of the “superforecasting” research program. We’re all aiming at the same cognitive target:
https://warontherocks.com/2020/01/the-pitfalls-and-possibilities-of-the-measurement-revolution-for-national-security/ …
@WarOnTheRockshttps://twitter.com/WarOnTheRocks/status/1219600560107802624 …
In observing the statistical controversies, I find that there are interrelated sociological & structural actors that prove to be greater obstacles to better decision making.