This Ray Dalio thing is above my financial literacy level, but it tracks with my anecdata. I hear people complaining about struggling to make rent, and people struggling to find a place to put hundreds of millions.https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/world-has-gone-mad-system-broken-ray-dalio/?fbclid=IwAR0kRor9Dt94pHKZxjvy9Ze_Kaki1nE8Bwytdj9Kd5_6EIwLln81EvlmuWk …
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Replying to @vgr
This accords with a lot of things I’ve heard — basically, stimulus policy tries to goose the economy by increasing the number of dollars in people’s pockets and hoping they’ll spend them. But investors know there’s nothing good to spend on, so they sit on tons of money.
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Replying to @s_r_constantin @vgr
Result: we’re not richer, but we are more unequal. The financial elite gain not in consumption but in relative security. The extra “money” never corresponded to extra goods; it is fake; it is a measure of “low risk of eviction” more than a measure of “having nice things”
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Replying to @s_r_constantin @vgr
I haven’t checked stats for myself so I don’t know if this is our current state, but it seems intuitive that it is a thing that *could* happen.
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Replying to @s_r_constantin @vgr
I don’t think you can tell the full story w/o considering the safe asset shortage. Unconventional monetary policy supports market for Treasuries (safe assets) which is also supports government deficits spending. Big question is how much work fiscal stimulus should be doing now
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Replying to @J_RtheWriter @vgr
Sorry, can you explain a bit? How does monetary policy produce a shortage of safe assets?
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Replying to @s_r_constantin @vgr
1/2 Safe asset shortage exists independent of monetary policy. QE and other “loose” monetary policy can help create more safe assets by backstopping Treasury markets. This is one of the reasons some folks want fiscal expansion, demand for Treasuries mean cheaper public financing
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2/2 Deeper question is why a safe asset shortage? Is it just a problem of governments not doing enough deficit spending or is there a deeper structural problem driving risk-off sentiments?
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