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J_RtheWriter's profile
j.r. leonard
j.r. leonard
j.r. leonard
@J_RtheWriter

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j.r. leonard

@J_RtheWriter

“We got some hats now, motherfuckers!”

Joined April 2018

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    1. j.r. leonard‏ @J_RtheWriter Nov 4
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @AliceFromQueens

      You can do better than that. This poll is meaningless. The people whose votes will decide 2020 haven’t made up their mind yet. And those who have are going to change it 4 or 5 more times

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Alice from Queens‏ @AliceFromQueens Nov 4
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @J_RtheWriter

      your hunch isn't more meaningful than this poll

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    3. j.r. leonard‏ @J_RtheWriter Nov 4
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @AliceFromQueens

      I don’t know. My hunch 4 years ago was that Trump was going to run the field in the GOP primary and at least be competitive against HRC But hunches aside, whoever runs the best primary campaign is the most likely to beat Trump. No reading tea leaves necessary

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Alice from Queens‏ @AliceFromQueens Nov 4
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @J_RtheWriter

      Polls aren't tea leaves. they aren't perfect but they're better than hunches.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. j.r. leonard‏ @J_RtheWriter Nov 4
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @AliceFromQueens

      No, they’re nothttps://fivethirtyeight.com/features/should-we-take-these-early-general-election-polls-seriously-no/ …

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Alice from Queens‏ @AliceFromQueens Nov 4
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @J_RtheWriter

      I don't see anything in that article about the potency of your hunches.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Alice from Queens‏ @AliceFromQueens Nov 4
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @AliceFromQueens @J_RtheWriter

      "Hillary Clinton led Donald Trump 46.2 percent to 41.2 percent in an average of all polls conducted in November and December 2015, missing the eventual national popular vote margin by about 3 points." If you find that encouraging... all I can say is: OK

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      j.r. leonard‏ @J_RtheWriter Nov 4
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @AliceFromQueens

      Everyone answering that poll knew Clinton was going to be the nominee. My beef isn’t with pills, it’s with counterfactual polls

      10:31 PM - 4 Nov 2019
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. Alice from Queens‏ @AliceFromQueens Nov 4
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @J_RtheWriter

          If you do think removing Trump is a national emergency, which a lot of Warren supporters claim to believe, then any indication of her weakness against Trump relative to other choices should matter.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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