You can do better than that. This poll is meaningless. The people whose votes will decide 2020 haven’t made up their mind yet. And those who have are going to change it 4 or 5 more times
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Polls aren't tea leaves. they aren't perfect but they're better than hunches.
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I don't see anything in that article about the potency of your hunches.
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"Hillary Clinton led Donald Trump 46.2 percent to 41.2 percent in an average of all polls conducted in November and December 2015, missing the eventual national popular vote margin by about 3 points." If you find that encouraging... all I can say is: OK
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