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J_RtheWriter's profile
j.r. leonard
j.r. leonard
j.r. leonard
@J_RtheWriter

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j.r. leonard

@J_RtheWriter

“We got some hats now, motherfuckers!”

Joined April 2018

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    1. Adam Ozimek‏ @ModeledBehavior Oct 31
      • Report Tweet

      Nice story from @bencasselman on the missing housing recovery. Lending standards matter, but id add that full employment will help a lot too when we finally get ithttps://www.nytimes.com/2019/10/31/business/economy/fed-mortgage-rates.html …

      3 replies 1 retweet 15 likes
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    2. Adam Ozimek‏ @ModeledBehavior Oct 31
      • Report Tweet

      We’re 2 years from full employment in a housing bust driven recession, so lack of a full recovery in housing isn’t that surprising

      3 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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    3. Kevin Erdmann‏ @KAErdmann Oct 31
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      Replying to @ModeledBehavior

      The scale of the tightening of lending is so huge that it really outweighs the other factors. Consider how odd it is that there is supposedly a housing affordability problem, but sales of new homes under $200,000 is down more than 80% from pre-2006 levels.

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    4. Kevin Erdmann‏ @KAErdmann Oct 31
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      Replying to @KAErdmann @ModeledBehavior

      The only owner-occupiers that can get mortgages are those who would buy homes worth more than $200,000. There are two different markets today. A functioning high end market and an entry level market mostly now dominated by investors.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      j.r. leonard‏ @J_RtheWriter Oct 31
      • Report Tweet
      Replying to @KAErdmann @ModeledBehavior

      Whys the driver? Is it because the entry-level markets are in he places without great jobs?

      9:46 AM - 31 Oct 2019
      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Kevin Erdmann‏ @KAErdmann Oct 31
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          Replying to @J_RtheWriter @ModeledBehavior

          It's not for lack of demand for shelter (including the ability to pay). Rents are rising. It's a lack of funding for purchase. That ends up limiting new supply, which leads to rising rents, which entry level households must pay because they can't get mortgages.

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. j.r. leonard‏ @J_RtheWriter Oct 31
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          Replying to @KAErdmann @ModeledBehavior

          But is it lack of supply or that entry-level households have too little income/too much debt?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Mallrat9000‏ @Mallrat9000 Oct 31
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          Replying to @J_RtheWriter @KAErdmann @ModeledBehavior

          It’s illegal to lend to entry level buyers

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Mallrat9000‏ @Mallrat9000 Oct 31
          • Report Tweet
          Replying to @Mallrat9000 @J_RtheWriter and

          The rental yield on entry level properties is such that if you could afford to rent, you could likely afford to buy. Put differently, if PE finds it worthwhile to own and operate rentals, then owners should too.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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