Watching public policy types figure out how to "pay for" spending when they can lock in borrowing rates far below economic growth rates for decades is....frustrating. Governments should be run more like businesses!
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Replying to @M_C_Klein
Ah yes, locking in borrowing rates by ** checks notes** issuing long term bonds that the Fed will have to buy with short maturity, interest bearing liabilities if it impacts interest rates too much. If we want to "lock in" low interest rates, we need ZIRP.
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Replying to @NathanTankus
all that matters for the sake of the argument is r relative to g which is probably independent of level of short rates -- also good reasons to think certain health reforms would be disinflationary but that's a separate issue
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Replying to @M_C_Klein
My point is simply there's no way to "lock in" interest rates for the consolidated government except permanently changing interest rate policy.
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Replying to @NathanTankus
Yes that's fair, although the practical salience of that constraint probably only matters with extremely large increases in debt relative to economic conditions that aren't being proposed.
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Replying to @M_C_Klein @NathanTankus
Guess it all comes back to whether you think the underlying policy is inflationary or disinflationary...
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Seems more than that. Maybe more borrowing is the right thing to do, but we should own the possibilities. Locking in interest rates is an illusion Did anyone in the 70s predict the interest rate environment of the 90s? Or anyone in the 2000s predict the current environment?
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