@gorskon @dfreedman7 @RyanMarino @NicoleB_MD @jonathanstea @ENirenberg
Real talk. I have a vaccine-hesitant friend, his mother passed away from influenza despite being vaccinated. Wife's health improved after she "stopped listening to docs".
How do I effectively talk to him?
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Nirvana fallacy - a cognitive bias worth recognizing
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Yes, that's it exactly.
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This might be the case here since he brings up the times that it didn't work; HOWEVER, the time where it didn't work was with his own mom so it's understandable that he is distrustful and still upset after that.
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So that would be a combo of Nirvana biases and other cognitive biases. Some people reading this thread may be able to add.
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I think it's fair to say that almost nobody understands probabilities. Ay least, nobody outside the maths and statistics communities.
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