I’m going to have to read the article. To say AZ and GA are “Lean D,” you’d have to assume Republicans nominate candidates like Kelli Ward. I wouldn’t be so sure of that a year plus out, but maybe the article will teach me something
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well, i do try to teach people stuff on here
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Id actually be concerned about Vermont if Leahy retires or if the governor runs
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It's hard to see Vermont's governor wanting to be part of the current Senate GOP caucus. But maybe.
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GOP are favorites in GA and NH if Sununu runs. They are probably 50/50 in NV. Dems do not show up in midterms when a Dem is president.
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New hamshire should be lean red and Pennsylvania should be likely blue
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All four current members of congress from NH are Dems. Three just elected. Why do you think it would lean red?
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So it looks like Democrats could flip Pennsylvania and at least make the races in Wisconsin and North Carolina interesting for the GOP. I would love to see Florida be competitive. I think there's a good chance. So many Independents here would not vote for Rubio if you paid them.
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