I think this is a huge problem. Power, platform, relevance - it twists people’s minds and makes once good people do bad things.
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Consistency is the hobknob of small minds.
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If you’re known as “the optimistic expert” then you damage your brand by being anything else.
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I mean, one of the optimists literally used the term “Delta schmelta” (as in, relax, it’s all overblown) in an article.
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A parent who had been hesitant this summer about offering the vaccine to their eligible teen said to me over on IG that the biggest mental challenge for her was being ok with changing her mind.
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I'm sure. It's so important to give people the opportunity to do so without fear of judgment. Admitting fault or error is honorable and acknowledging it as such is to acknowledge our common humanity.
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People with large egos and high intelligence have a very difficult time admitting they were wrong. Combine that with a love of attention for how smart they are/seem to be. Spent a good chunk of my career in academia and it’s a hallmark of the profession…
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If true, that equation reduces to “large egos,” intelligence drops out.
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Remember the whole "Failure is not an option" craze? Unfortunately the idea became a rule it was never meant to be. Update priors based on new evidence: fail Misjudge significance: fail No one wants to be a failure, they're in the out group. Doctors are especially vulnerable.
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Failure is mandatory. Hell, look at the olympics, best of the best of so many nations, and in every category, 99% are going home without the gold. And that's in a contest where we've decided *someone* is guaranteed to win. No such guarantee in the rest of life.
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