If almost everyone who read Ioannidis interpreted his statement as predicting 10,000 deaths and he insists that isn't what he meant, the problem is poor communication on his part.
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Glad to see JI getting much needed opprobrium. A man of his stature and intelligence should have none better, but I guess everyone is vulnerable to hubris.
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Ioannidis’ academic legacy?
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The fifth risk was a book I read at the beginning of the trump administration and mailed copies to friends and basically predicts the massive failure of govt we had with the pandemic crisis. Just thank God that was the only major crisis we faced.
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Yes great book. He clearly understood tail risks better than
@nntaleb.pic.twitter.com/Gn6rxValNx
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"No more than 10000 will die", lol, in early February 2020 I ordered an oxygen concentrator. Opinions differ.
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smart people make lousy projections
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