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JHowardBrainMD's profile
Jonathan Howard
Jonathan Howard
Jonathan Howard
@JHowardBrainMD

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Jonathan Howard

@JHowardBrainMD

Worth following only for the guitar compositions.

Joined May 2018

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    1. Jonathan Howard‏ @JHowardBrainMD Mar 30

      The IFR must be paired with some estimate of how contagious a disease is to get what matters most, how many will die. Ebola has a high IFR but is much less contagious and so will never kill like covid. 2/n

      1 reply 1 retweet 19 likes
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    2. Jonathan Howard‏ @JHowardBrainMD Mar 30

      In March 2020, JPAI assumed that 1% of USA would get covid and only 10,000 would die. I wish he had been right! Clearly he’s off by many orders of magnitude. 3/npic.twitter.com/CaA80EtH1h

      2 replies 1 retweet 21 likes
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    3. Jonathan Howard‏ @JHowardBrainMD Mar 30

      Yet in this video, from just one month later, he claims covid is 50-85 times more common than thought- and so not that deadly. Start listening at 2 minutes. 4/n.https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=cwPqmLoZA4s …

      2 replies 1 retweet 17 likes
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    4. Jonathan Howard‏ @JHowardBrainMD Mar 30

      Note the pivot. In March covid wasn’t scary because few would get it. In April covid wasn’t that scary because so many had already gotten it. That’s a cute trick. 5/n

      1 reply 6 retweets 43 likes
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    5. Jonathan Howard‏ @JHowardBrainMD Mar 30

      As it became clear that tens of thousands would die, he pivoted again to say that the Covid numbers were inflated. That people were dying with Covid, not of Covid. I have found 3 instances of this. Two are below. 6/npic.twitter.com/CZL3bEYKxa

      2 replies 1 retweet 22 likes
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    6. Jonathan Howard‏ @JHowardBrainMD Mar 30

      The 3rd is this video again. Start listening at 24 minutes. He says that many covid deaths were in older people who would have imminently die anyway. He specifically says docs fill out death certificates poorly. 7/n.https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=cwPqmLoZA4s …

      2 replies 2 retweets 20 likes
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    7. Jonathan Howard‏ @JHowardBrainMD Mar 30

      So in summary, few will get covid, everyone already has covid, the death numbers are inflated anyways. 8/n

      1 reply 3 retweets 22 likes
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    8. Jonathan Howard‏ @JHowardBrainMD Mar 30

      Here are the sources for the screenshots above so you can ensure nothing is taken out of context. 9/n https://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/933977 … https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/ … https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7447267/ …

      1 reply 1 retweet 18 likes
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    9. Jonathan Howard‏ @JHowardBrainMD Mar 30

      He later said his prediction of 10,00 deaths was just his optimistic range. However that appears nowhere in his original writing. 10/npic.twitter.com/asiGNzDY7U

      1 reply 1 retweet 17 likes
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    10. Jonathan Howard‏ @JHowardBrainMD Mar 30

      And while he does talk about the pessimistic range in his piece from March 2020, he clearly said “I do not espouse” that view. 11/npic.twitter.com/kjX5lZr7Ip

      1 reply 1 retweet 16 likes
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      Jonathan Howard‏ @JHowardBrainMD Mar 30

      So my last thought is that with JPAI, it’s not the crime, is the cover-up. We need space for people to make bold predictions, be wrong, and not be vilified. However, this relies on people acknowledging the error in honest and transparent ways. 12/n

      12:19 PM - 30 Mar 2021
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      1 reply 8 retweets 51 likes
        1. Jonathan Howard‏ @JHowardBrainMD Mar 30

          It seems obligatory in posts like these to add that I admired him (and many of his defenders) a lot one year ago. They were my “tribe.” I badly wanted them to be right. My bias was heavily skewed in their favor. But I try to let reality win over my biases when possible. End.

          2 replies 2 retweets 41 likes
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