Two big things people are missing: how exponential growth works, and that there's a 2 week lag between any action taken to reduce the spread of the virus and any effect in terms of measured positive cases
yea i feel like the "infection" curves are a better approximation of the "# of available tests" vs time than the "true" # infections vs time
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assuming all confirmed cases get reported
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It's being reported with alarming frequency that cases are suddenly appearing , not that more tests are revealing more people who already had the condition
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This point can’t be emphasized enough. Lots of really intelligent people are taking the reported cases as the ground truth. A better estimate can be obtained from the fatality. The numbers obtained are truly scary.
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Exactly!. Those curves might reflect the patterns of testing rather than patterns of spread.
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I'm opposed to using log scales because it masks the magnitude of growth.
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It’s not even that with the selective testing that’s going on, even officials over here in the UK have been saying for a week or more that actual numbers r likely 10x+ then when u add in the time ppl r a symptomatic it’s even worse
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