Nick ReynoldsVerified account

The main thing to note here: Cheney benefits from the crowded field. In a multi-candidate race, Cheney nets an estimated 23% of the vote, followed by 1) Gray (18%) 2) Bouchard (17%) 3) Smith (7%) 4 Buchanan (3%) 5) Biteman 2%

30% were undecided. And the MOE is nearly 6 points, which is a lot given how tight some of these results are. In a three-way race featuring Gray, Cheney and Smith (an unusual list, given Bouchard is clearly the leading-fundraiser) Gray beats Cheney by just 2%. 39% undecided.

I do have questions though... Darin Smith performs extremely poorly in this poll, whether a three-person race or a five-person race. He netted 15% in the 2016 primaries against Cheney (40%). That was a nine-way primary. And he's raised a lot more money this time around.