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Humble_Analysis's profile
PLC
PLC
PLC
@Humble_Analysis

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@Humble_Analysis

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    1. PLC‏ @Humble_Analysis 21 Dec 2020

      Four days ago, Oxford University published a report on US state government responses to Covid-19, showing a wide divergence in relative stringency with that divergence growing over time as 1/2 the US states open up and 1/2 continue to lock-down:pic.twitter.com/VZ4pxCy0hV

      12 replies 117 retweets 226 likes
      Show this thread
    2. PLC‏ @Humble_Analysis 21 Dec 2020

      This study, if anything, understates the differences between states as I have personally visited 20 states since this Summer and the day-to-day experiences in Alabama or Idaho vs. Washington or Nevada are dramatically and obviously different. https://www.bsg.ox.ac.uk/sites/default/files/2020-12/BSG-WP-2020-034-v2_0.pdf …

      3 replies 7 retweets 47 likes
      Show this thread
    3. PLC‏ @Humble_Analysis 21 Dec 2020

      The obvious question is: have the stringent states bought anything with their authoritarian limits on personal freedom? Looking at cumulative Covid deaths, there is no clear correlation between stringency and mortality:pic.twitter.com/RdoFJZ04KB

      4 replies 39 retweets 88 likes
      Show this thread
    4. PLC‏ @Humble_Analysis 21 Dec 2020

      What about cases? The free states appeared to be doing worse over the Summer and early Fall, but the authoritarian states have seen dramatic increases since early November while the the free states have plateaued:pic.twitter.com/jeEchReZwg

      1 reply 19 retweets 72 likes
      Show this thread
    5. PLC‏ @Humble_Analysis 21 Dec 2020

      A similar story hold for hospitalized patients (data only available since July) - the free states looked to be doing worse over the Summer, but the growth over the past 8 weeks has come from locked-down states:pic.twitter.com/Bw2uYE5FQK

      1 reply 15 retweets 55 likes
      Show this thread
    6. PLC‏ @Humble_Analysis 21 Dec 2020

      Deaths per day have peaked and have begun to decline in free states while the authoritarian states continue to see daily increases in Covid mortality:pic.twitter.com/9KWoRKmNUe

      3 replies 20 retweets 63 likes
      Show this thread
    7. PLC‏ @Humble_Analysis 21 Dec 2020

      Interestingly, the most and least restrictive states have almost exactly the same number of cumulative reported Covid deaths per million, currently:pic.twitter.com/zhxg3mhGDq

      5 replies 25 retweets 78 likes
      Show this thread
    8. PLC‏ @Humble_Analysis 21 Dec 2020

      So, what have the authoritarian states achieved with their restrictions? No reduction in cases, nor in hospitalizations, nor in deaths. The spread of Covid-19 follows regional-seasonal patterns and its impact appears to be independent of government or personal behavior.pic.twitter.com/q7jagaQs7U

      10 replies 110 retweets 225 likes
      Show this thread
      PLC‏ @Humble_Analysis 21 Dec 2020

      The governors of the most restrictive states did achieve one thing with all their interventions, though: unemployment nearly 2X that seen in the least restrictive states.pic.twitter.com/B6wwf7gna4

      10:14 AM - 21 Dec 2020
      • 37 Retweets
      • 118 Likes
      • Chasing the Dream Deplorably Logical GronkStan GuruNole Daisy President Walter George Tsanidis Xavier Edmonds John
      3 replies 37 retweets 118 likes
        1. New conversation
        1. Martin Ilkevich‏ @martin_ilk 21 Dec 2020
          Replying to @Humble_Analysis

          Where's the source for these charts here? I looked at the one source you linked and found none of these charts in that study.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        2. PLC‏ @Humble_Analysis 21 Dec 2020
          Replying to @martin_ilk

          The top two charts are found the Oxford study linked. The others I created based on publicly available data found on http://covidtracking.com  and http://worldometers.info  - all charts display sources.

          1 reply 2 retweets 2 likes
          3. End of conversation
        2. New conversation
        1. Reclaim Your Humanity  🙂‏ @evolvingmamma Feb 1
          Replying to @Humble_Analysis

          @threadreaderapp unroll please

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        2. Thread Reader App‏ @threadreaderapp Feb 1
          Replying to @evolvingmamma

          Hallo, the unroll you asked for: Four days ago, Oxford University published a report on US state government responses to Covid-19, showing a wide… https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1341079876539797504.html … Enjoy :) 🤖

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
          3. End of conversation

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