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HotlineJosh's profile
Josh Kraushaar
Josh Kraushaar
Josh Kraushaar
Verified account
@HotlineJosh

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Josh KraushaarVerified account

@HotlineJosh

Against the Grain columnist at National Journal. Political reporting & analysis, without fear or favor. (Opinions expressed here are my own.)

Washington, DC
icmspeakers.com/speaker/josh-k…
Joined February 2009

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    Josh Kraushaar‏Verified account @HotlineJosh 14 Dec 2020

    “Inside Trump’s surprising New York City surge”https://www.politico.com/states/new-york/city-hall/story/2020/12/10/inside-trumps-surprising-new-york-city-surge-1344705 …

    8:47 PM - 14 Dec 2020
    • 24 Retweets
    • 79 Likes
    • Sandy Welch John Prince Tami eplatina88 Mary L. Meier Brena John Stanley Zeek6113X Cagna
    27 replies 24 retweets 79 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Jody B‏ @missusbarney 14 Dec 2020
        Replying to @HotlineJosh @RobGeorge

        I’m sick of hearing about these people.

        3 replies 0 retweets 12 likes
      3. c_hami_chi‏ @c_hami_chi 14 Dec 2020
        Replying to @missusbarney @HotlineJosh @RobGeorge

        Me TOO

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. The Civil Liberal‏ @cfthepodcast 14 Dec 2020
        Replying to @HotlineJosh

        Are we really describing a 5 point improvement and still losing by 50+ points, a “surge”?

        1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
      3. (((Tadeusz Mrozek))) UMBC '25‏ @TadeuszMrozek2 14 Dec 2020
        Replying to @cfthepodcast @HotlineJosh

        It matters. Think if it were a swing state. 5% improvements are important, especially when they get mirrored all across the country.

        1 reply 0 retweets 8 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Tim Miller‏Verified account @Timodc 14 Dec 2020
        Replying to @HotlineJosh

        (Surged to 1.5 points worse than Bush 04)https://www.gothamgazette.com/index.php/demographics/2611-bush-does-better-and-other-election-results-in-nyc …

        1 reply 4 retweets 45 likes
      3. Josh Kraushaar‏Verified account @HotlineJosh 14 Dec 2020
        Replying to @Timodc

        04 but not 00. Interestingly, Bush benefited from a 9/11 surge in NYC in many of those same areas

        1 reply 0 retweets 12 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Joan Roger‏ @JoanRoger7 14 Dec 2020
        Replying to @HotlineJosh @RobGeorge

        Weddings and funerals with thousands of people, a middle class elite wanting their brunches and an isolated borough which believes they have the right to endanger others, that’s all too much.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Show replies
      1. Beaker‏ @Beakerlives 14 Dec 2020
        Replying to @HotlineJosh

        Beaker Retweeted Dave Wasserman

        Does anyone remember deep dives on areas where Hillary improved despite losing? Guess what he still didn’t improve statewide in NY over 2016 which is why he lost. Defund didn’t hurt Biden in MN either, he improved over ‘16 results despite Floyd riotshttps://twitter.com/redistrict/status/1334624181720403971?s=21 …

        Beaker added,

        Dave WassermanVerified account @Redistrict
        New York has certified its 2020 election results: Biden 5,230,985 (60.9%) Trump 3,244,798 (37.8%) That's a 0.6 point margin swing against Trump vs. 2016 and an 11.3% increase in votes cast. http://cookpolitical.com/2020-national-popular-vote-tracker …
        Show this thread
        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Hoff-mann Hoff-amazing‏ @OriginalBad 14 Dec 2020
        Replying to @HotlineJosh

        Probably important to add that this only added up to a ~90k change between 2016 and 2020 total in all 5 boroughs.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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