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HotlineJosh's profile
Josh Kraushaar
Josh Kraushaar
Josh Kraushaar
Verified account
@HotlineJosh

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Josh KraushaarVerified account

@HotlineJosh

Against the Grain columnist at National Journal. Political reporting & analysis, without fear or favor. (Opinions expressed here are my own.)

Washington, DC
icmspeakers.com/speaker/josh-k…
Joined February 2009

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    Josh Kraushaar‏Verified account @HotlineJosh 29 Jan 2020

    New Monmouth IOWA poll: Biden 23, Sanders 21, Buttigieg 16, Warren 15, Klobuchar 10. My against the grain prediction: If there's a big surprise in Iowa, it's Klobuchar finishing ahead of Warren.

    8:59 AM - 29 Jan 2020
    • 135 Retweets
    • 928 Likes
    • Ernestine Pat Huber jerry vick CSQScales Maggie M Armed Liberal Annie Gavin Paget ⚽⚽⚽ James MozΞy
    114 replies 135 retweets 928 likes
      1. Josh Kraushaar‏Verified account @HotlineJosh 29 Jan 2020

        ICYMI, my column from Des Moines earlier this month: "Will Klobuchar Surprise in Iowa?"http://njour.nl/s/703867?unlock=11FCQ6GAP48WASID …

        5 replies 16 retweets 81 likes
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      2. Land Johnston‏ @LandJohnston 29 Jan 2020
        Replying to @HotlineJosh

        What a depressing prediction.

        1 reply 0 retweets 16 likes
      3. Scott Trever Dougan‏ @ScottDougan1 29 Jan 2020
        Replying to @LandJohnston @HotlineJosh

        Why is that depressing?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Matthew Cooper‏Verified account @mattizcoop 29 Jan 2020
        Replying to @HotlineJosh

        Agree

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. Michael Louison‏ @mike_louison 29 Jan 2020
        Replying to @HotlineJosh

        Man alive these Iowa polls are all over the place, including those from high quality pollsters. Gonna be an exciting night on Tuesday! Also if Warren finishes 5th (which I still kinda doubt) she's pretty much cooked and may drop out. Again, who knows.

        1 reply 0 retweets 18 likes
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      1. Todd Taylor‏ @toddytails 29 Jan 2020
        Replying to @HotlineJosh

        This poll in particular has always been friendly to Biden; the trajectory is clear though as it had him up 6 last round.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Black, White & Grey‏ @NBfromLB 29 Jan 2020
        Replying to @HotlineJosh

        How do you think Sanders, Klobuchar & Warren being stuck in DC is playing out?

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Nicole for #M4A‏ @Dazy37 30 Jan 2020
        Replying to @NBfromLB @HotlineJosh

        Bernie has such a strong force in Iowa right now

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. DJ‏ @DjRodgers1231 29 Jan 2020
        Replying to @HotlineJosh

        If this happens, then it’s bad for Biden

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Michael Louison‏ @mike_louison 29 Jan 2020
        Replying to @DjRodgers1231 @HotlineJosh

        Only if it is also combined with Sanders winning. If Biden wins Iowa he doesn't much care what else happens. But yeah, a second (or worse) in IA combined with AK doing well enough to be convinced to stay in is pretty much worst case scenario for him.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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