Steve Campbell

@Historian_Steve

Early-19th c. US historian. Lecturer at Cal Poly Pomona. Author of The Bank War and the Partisan Press (University Press of Kansas, 2019)

Vrijeme pridruživanja: lipanj 2017.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    21. sij 2019.
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  2. Here is the thread where Sahm lays out the story and reasoning behind her eponymous rule. Included in this thread is the link to her paper with the

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  3. I wish I had known about this earlier. Basically the number in this graph has to get above 0.5 before we know we're in a recession. And a bit of interesting history: it was the Knights of Labor that first called for a BLS, way back in the 1880s.

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  4. Last Aug and Sept, when I was reading news articles about the inverted yield curve, I thought we were going to have a recession this year. But now I find out that the Sahm Rule, named after , is a much better indicator. Spread the word.

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  5. They have amplified the

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  6. Indeed, the entire (white) Midwest has gotten *way* too much attention these last few years, giving the impression that voters here are the only ones that matter. The problems with the Iowa caucuses tonight should put to rest this antiquated system.

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  7. I live in an ethnically diverse state that has a population larger than Canada and larger than Australia, and which would be in the top ten economies were it considered a country. It is for these reasons (and others) that I have long despised the outsized attention Iowa gets.

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  8. We need more people in America to have this feeling.

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  9. Most Republicans had not yet considered allying themselves with Russian oligarchs. All of this is an opportunity to review the classic change over time question with which historians are concerned. 2008 really was a different world. No coincidence Obama got 70 million votes

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  10. No Citizens' United. No Janus. No Shelby County. Only the faintest of signs--FLA 2000 being a prominent example--that voter suppression and gerrymandering would become staples of the Republican playbook; all designed to entrench corporate interests.

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  11. I'm not trying to say everything was hunky dory. Iraq was terrible. I thought Bush was the worst. I met a Franciscan friar in KY who said he had never hated anyone before Bush! But we had yet to see the country's political system collapse into dysfunction.

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  12. I remember my excitement with the 2008 Iowa caucuses. Obama pulled an upset victory. I was living in Santa Barbara in my first year of my PhD program. There was no Lehman. No Tea Baggers. No Benghazi. No orange-headed monster.

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  13. 3. velj

    4. Deregulation entails more profits for the industry but often entails more risk. There you have it. There is no "bias" in what I've said. The real bias in media is that these stories are not more prominent in our news or that the dots are not connected in this way.

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  14. 3. velj

    Here is how accurate reporting might create a better polity: 1. Scientists have linked the devastating fires in Australia to the burning of fossil fuels. 2. Fossil fuel companies have been major contributors to Donald Trump. 3. Trump has deregulated the fossil fuel industry

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  15. 3. velj

    This seems like a cool conference. It looks like they'll talk about the international gold standard, the Bank of England, and some of the interesting economic inventions of early modern Italy.

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  16. 3. velj

    A thoughtful mini-thread. I get what you mean, Robert. My own version of this is that I'm less focused on being "productive" than I was 10 years ago. I think I'm happier for it, too.

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  17. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. velj

    1. This is an obvious prediction, but I want to get it on record. The GOP just released Trump from any accountability for trying to cheat in the upcoming election. That's one sign of many that they are going to try to rig the election, in a range of illegal & semi-legal ways.

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  18. 3. velj

    4. 2012: Niners lose, but Obama wins reelection. 5. 2019: well technically it's not an election year (I said it was unscientific), but Niners lose. Maybe Dems win in November? Who knows. I'm not entirely confident the elections will be fair in the first place.

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  19. 3. velj

    1. 1984: Niners win, Dems lose by almost 20 points to the Gipper. 2. 1988: Niners Win, Dems lose another blowout, partly b/c of Lee Atwater. 3. 1994: Niners win SB, Gingrich et flame-throwing lunatics take over.

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  20. 3. velj

    So I'm a little bit bummed my Niners lost. That's the second time in a row in the Super Bowl they've blown it when it really counts. But I take some consolation in this totally unscientific, astrological prediction: Democrats do well in elections when Niners lose Super Bowl.

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  21. 3. velj

    Here is another topic for the great and the great to read!

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