Virtu Q1 revenue $1.01 billion, est $522M Virtu Q1 EPS $2.04, est $1.29 Increases buyback program by $300M I knew today had good day vibes
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Replying to @HideNotSlide
mkt is not going to capitalize the beat, at best they will assume $1 of value accrues to holders. Real upside from here in this stock seems will only come if someone acquires it, no?
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Replying to @Chappietx @HideNotSlide
Why do you think market doesn’t recognize the value here?
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Replying to @JosephOnions @HideNotSlide
With trading volatility it is difficult for the market to distinguish between cyclical and secular growth. As a financial, the market place is a low multiple on it, despite it being a demonstrably higher return business than most financials. Bad press.
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Replying to @Chappietx @HideNotSlide
Fair. But if you and I know that, don’t the shareholders who are selling by the millions at $29 also know it?
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Replying to @JosephOnions @HideNotSlide
Lota dumb money, lotta dumb money. That's the opportunity.
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Replying to @Chappietx @HideNotSlide
I guess my confusion is that even the dumb money can see their earnings. It’s a bit of a small/niche company for dumb people. But to your point, if the buyback were a special dividend instead, everyone would be worse off and the stock would be at $60.
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Replying to @JosephOnions @HideNotSlide
Mkt struggles to figure out what normalized core eps is. They say trough is 2, we know peak is 5. So somewhere in btwn. What grth rate should mkt expect from that midpoint. It is difficult to see due to vol. Also cap structure is an issue. Would prefer to see that cleaned up.
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maybe
@HideNotSlide has an idea what normalized core earnings power is?1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
It all comes down to your estimate of normalized daily trading income. 2019 was ~$4M per day, 2020 was ~$9M. Q1 was $12M. I think a "normal" post COVID daily figure is in the $6-7M range, putting EPS at $3-$4 per share w/o wild volpic.twitter.com/ZKyJKzutuN
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