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Helping investors become smarter & more informed about exchanges.

LOST IN THE CITADEL SECURITIES
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    1. Hide Not Slide‏ @HideNotSlide 19 Jun 2020

      THREAD: Since the March lows, we've seen interesting divergence in exchange stock performance that I want to flesh out in more detail below: $NDAQ $ICE $CME $CBOEpic.twitter.com/xY030l7sH0

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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    2. Hide Not Slide‏ @HideNotSlide 19 Jun 2020

      $NDAQ rebounding the most since the lows makes sense - high exposure to recurring market data & listing revenues (~64%) means COVID didnt cut the short-term outlook. 2021 expectations haven't moved that much either:pic.twitter.com/F1FvCdY3vN

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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    3. Hide Not Slide‏ @HideNotSlide 19 Jun 2020

      Hide Not Slide Retweeted Alexander Osipovich

      Same with $ICE - high exposure to recurring market data revenue helps shelter the stock from near term shocks. There's also been optimism that negative WTI prices help push market share to Brent:https://twitter.com/aosipovich/status/1252932231351480321?s=20 …

      Hide Not Slide added,

      Alexander Osipovich @aosipovich
      My other story this morning: @CMEGroup faces risks from negative-price episode in WTI futures- https://www.wsj.com/articles/negative-oil-prices-pose-headache-for-futures-giant-cme-11587547802 …
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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    4. Hide Not Slide‏ @HideNotSlide 19 Jun 2020

      $CBOE has underperformed the S&P since the bottom because the VIX has stayed elevated - traders haven't put on new hedges and we've seen VIX & SPX options volumes languish. Their trading floor closure also hurt activity. 2021 estimates are down on lower forecasted VIX OI imopic.twitter.com/AJ37N492xI

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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    5. Hide Not Slide‏ @HideNotSlide 19 Jun 2020

      Similar story with $CME - extreme energy volatility hurting some traders + low interest rates keeping hedging/speculative activity low = lower expected volumes & open interest, despite a huge Q1 2020:pic.twitter.com/EgqXcFBAFE

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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    6. Hide Not Slide‏ @HideNotSlide 19 Jun 2020

      In terms of forward multiples, the COVID crisis has led investors to place more of a premium on stable income streams - a la $NDAQ and $ICE. $CBOE & $CME multiples have contracted on the gloomier outlook since the start of 2020:pic.twitter.com/nYQvQIYYvU

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      Hide Not Slide‏ @HideNotSlide 19 Jun 2020

      In my opinion, those looking for value among exchanges should choose $CME over $CBOE as size and diversification reduces further risk. CME still has NEX integration going for it and new product launches (micro e-mini options) to boost sentiment.

      4:39 AM - 19 Jun 2020
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      • Annie-Claude
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