1. This @adamdavidson piece is getting widely linked to, rightly so, but I have a political proviso: https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/michael-cohen-and-the-end-stage-of-the-trump-presidency …
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5. Trump could pardon any crony or family member who gets charged. And even post-presidency, Trump can use GOP party loyalty as a shield to protect himself from legal consequences.
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6. If the GOP still loves Trump, that's going to make it difficult to prosecute him after he leaves office. It'll be a political issue & Dems (as with CIA torture) will fall for rhetoric about need for national healing, moving on, etc.
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7. This is the larger reality. American elites rarely if ever pay for their crimes. And Trump, despite his faux-populism, is as elite as they come: a president.
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8. Consider the massive blunders & crimes that have gone unpunished or not nearly punished enough: Vietnam, Watergate (Nixon pardon), Iran/Contra (many pardons), Iraq war, torture, 2008 meltdown. When do elites pay for their crimes?
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9. The GOP might suffer politically, a few underlings might do jailtime before pardons, but we have to prepare for the possibility that Trump will never face a real reckoning. That's the American way.
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End of conversation
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Agreed. Though the Iraq war parallel was compelling to me. Remember how shocking it was that W could win in 2004 given what was known about the war? But then by 2006 the politics had dramatically shifted.
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But Davidson's point is that once people know the details, they will abandon him. In time they will accept that he's a two-bit fraud, just as they realized Nixon did not have a path forward, that the Iraq war was a mistake, and that real estate could not go up forever.
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He’ll resign. He’ll blame it on others, but he’ll resign. He’ll make a deal to resign. Backing away from messes he’s made is his narcissist MO.
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Exactly. Trump is an emperor at this point. We're stuck with him for 8 years, no matter what. He could murder someone on 5th Ave on Fox and all we would get from the base is crying laughing emojis.
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One thing is true, Trump has learned how to make You equally or more at Risk if you deal with him. He is skilled at chaining you to his trashiness. But, you gotta be willing.
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