The special & off year elections results seem to show that the Obama coalition is recoverable & 2016 was an outlier to broader pattern of last three (or more) presidential elections. That's big.
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I'm telling you, the only reason Trump won in 2016 was Hillary Clinton. Democrats can nominate a wet rag in 2020 and beat the crap out of Trump.
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People don't want to say that because it will create in-fighting. But it's true. Her favorability ratings went way down because of the e-mail "scandal." People can think that's unfair but that's what happened.
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A sign that messaging was off? IT WAS OFF
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But Dallet also held her own in the traditional WOW counties, which suggests Dems are keeping the places that surged Dem in 2016 and getting back the places that they lost in 2012.
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Right, if they can do that it'll be a massive wave.
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yeah...sure...messaging. I'm sure that was it.
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Winning a third straight term is pretty damn hard.
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Trump swing. One of the underrated findings in 2017/18 elections (both special and normal).