1. This is worrisome.https://twitter.com/fravel/status/965295130470207489 …
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5. The danger is that the bluster gets misinterpreted as a imminent threat. Making that more likely is USA under Trump has very weak diplomatic capabilities.
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6. Tillerson is a toadstool & State Dept is in disarray. USA has no ambassador in South Korea. Trump leans heavily on military men who, whatever other qualities they have, are not diplomats. In a stand off, things could get hairy.
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7. My guess is South Korean gov'ts rift with USA & openness to talks with North Korea is fuelled in part by wanting to stave off worst case scenario & to compensate for weakness of USA diplomacy.
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8. But aside from South Korean gov't, one other body can act as a check on Trump's blundering: congress.
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9. Obviously GOP congress hasn't been doing a great job of checking Trump (although Corker's WWIII warnings a sign that even some of them are concerned).
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10. If Dems win in fall, especially if (unlikely but possible) they win Senate, they can offer a real check to Trump's foreign policy.
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11. Congress actually has a lot of potential power to hamstring a president. Since Pearl Harbor it has been reluctant to use that. This might be the moment to challenge the imperial presidency.
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End of conversation
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I think South Korea put an end to any aggressive action by the US with their gestures towards NK in the Olympics. Any hostile US action will have no support and no legitimacy.
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Saw Crazy Alex Jones pushing "intelligence" that North Korea has plan to strike Japan with ICBMs after Olympics. Bluster is getting worrisome, they might have made calculation that foreign war is only thing that will take Russiagate heat off Trump;.
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Or China has to openly threaten retaliation if the US does move first on NK. That would slow down things, in a terrifying, and would likely damage many economys in the process.
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