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HeerJeet's profile
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
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@HeerJeet

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Jeet HeerVerified account

@HeerJeet

1. Writer, The Nation https://www.thenation.com/authors/jeet-heer/ … 2. email: jeetheer1967 at gmail dot com 3. Twitter essayist 4. Drawn by Joe Ollmann

thenation.com
Joined June 2012

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    1. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 20 Jun 2017

      (((Harry Enten))) Retweeted Eric Lipton

      I'm confused by this. 1. All I kept hearing from reporters on the ground/those who said to ignore the polls was how this was a tossup.https://twitter.com/EricLiptonNYT/status/877381628242284545 …

      (((Harry Enten))) added,

      Eric LiptonVerified account @EricLiptonNYT
      Looks like we have more evidence that polling is flawed and reporters need to stop relying on it to shape coverage https://twitter.com/CNNPolitics/status/873721459419598848 …
      13 replies 18 retweets 94 likes
    2. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 20 Jun 2017
      Replying to @ForecasterEnten

      Politico ran an actual article last week saying Republicans were preparing for a loss. Polls and interviews agreed! http://www.politico.com/story/2017/06/16/georgia-special-election-gop-worries-239619 …

      3 replies 3 retweets 29 likes
    3. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 20 Jun 2017
      Replying to @ForecasterEnten

      2. While the polls as of early last week had Ossoff ahead, those who understood past polling misses said it was "too close to call".

      3 replies 3 retweets 40 likes
    4. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 20 Jun 2017
      Replying to @ForecasterEnten

      Polls in special elections have historically had a MoE of +/- 13 points or so with concern to the margin.

      2 replies 1 retweet 36 likes
    5. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 20 Jun 2017
      Replying to @ForecasterEnten

      3. The polls also showed movement toward Handel at the end of the campaign. Heck, the RCP average had Handel up!

      3 replies 6 retweets 60 likes
    6. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 20 Jun 2017
      Replying to @ForecasterEnten

      At the end, I think Handel beat everyone's expectation of the mode outcome. And that happens. Predictions have MoE, not gonna be perfect.

      14 replies 5 retweets 54 likes
      Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 20 Jun 2017
      Replying to @ForecasterEnten @accommodatingly

      Fair to say there was a last minute swing to Handel, possibly motivated by Alexandra shooting?

      10:33 PM - 20 Jun 2017
      • 9 Likes
      • busticated Aviva Gabriel Eli 🍑🥕 Families Belong Together March on June 30, 2018 Lauren Macdonald John 🏳️‍🌈 Neolib gang Jeffrey Morgan Davide Maistrello
      3 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 20 Jun 2017
          Replying to @HeerJeet @accommodatingly

          I'm at least a little skeptical that was what did Ossoff in, but it didn't help him.

          1 reply 0 retweets 11 likes
        3. (((Harry Enten)))‏Verified account @ForecasterEnten 20 Jun 2017
          Replying to @ForecasterEnten @HeerJeet @accommodatingly

          And obviously some GOPers said it helped Handel.

          0 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. eudaimonia‏ @ainomiadue 20 Jun 2017
          Replying to @HeerJeet @ForecasterEnten @accommodatingly

          Cons, since they could not run on issues, character assassinated him. Blamed Ossaff for Scalise being shot.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. RDThorsett‏ @rdthorsett 21 Jun 2017
          Replying to @HeerJeet @ForecasterEnten @accommodatingly

          I'd guess Kathy Griffin and Shakespeare may have been more problematic -- tied neatly with "Hollywood Money" attack.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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