8. NATO can only be stable if it has broad bipartisan support in USA. NATO countries now know that it doesn't, so they have to move on
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Replying to @HeerJeet
Can NATO be stable if almost none of its European member countries' populations actually support Article 5?: http://carnegieeurope.eu/strategiceurope/?fa=60389 …
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Replying to @DouthatNYT
Wars are launched by elites, not by public opinion polls.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
Wasn't one of the hooks for this tweetstorm the poll showing weak Republican-voter support for NATO?
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Replying to @DouthatNYT
I think that polling # less significant than fact GOP elite in congress & Senate (see Corker) going along with Trump.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
The theory of the GOP elite seems to be that you let Trump vent and then make sure nothing changes in policy.
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Replying to @DouthatNYT @HeerJeet
Which may be a way to march slightly more slowly to NATO dissolution. But Merkel isn't kicking US troops out of Germany just yet.
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Replying to @DouthatNYT
NATO dissolution won't happen right away. We're at the stage of "let's start dating other people" but not full separation.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
Until France is up for a pivot to Russia, we're not in a "let's start dating other people" phase.
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Replying to @DouthatNYT @HeerJeet
And Macron's election has pushed that possibility further over the horizon.
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The overriding goal of French will be good relations with Germany. Key is what Merkel decides.
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