Political scientists who view political preferences as driven by fundamentals (i.e., economy & war) have no good story for Trump.
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1. He lost the PV! (which is what they essentially model);Comey, etc.. 2. Some disavowed conclusion; 3. But my current point is his polling.
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There is no way to view politics as mechanical outcome of economics, incumbency, + war/peace inputs & get to Trump at 40% at 100 days.
End of conversation
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