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HeerJeet's profile
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
Jeet Heer
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@HeerJeet

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Jeet HeerVerified account

@HeerJeet

1. Writer, The Nation https://www.thenation.com/authors/jeet-heer/ … 2. email: jeetheer1967 at gmail dot com 3. Twitter essayist 4. Drawn by Joe Ollmann

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Joined June 2012

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    1. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 23 Apr 2017
      Replying to @HeerJeet

      3. Trump brought together enough of GOP coalition to win & Clinton's lost enough of Dem coalition for same reason: Clinton's unpopularity

      14 replies 23 retweets 148 likes
    2. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 23 Apr 2017
      Replying to @HeerJeet

      4. I had read articles making plausible arguments about Clinton's weaknesses as a candidate like this from @karpmjhttps://www.jacobinmag.com/2016/02/karp-bernie-sanders-electability-clinton-republicans-trump-election/ …

      2 replies 14 retweets 111 likes
    3. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 23 Apr 2017
      Replying to @HeerJeet

      5. This from @willwilkinson was also very prophetic:http://www.willwilkinson.net/flybottle/2016/05/29/why-trump-might-win/ …

      3 replies 19 retweets 109 likes
    4. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 23 Apr 2017
      Replying to @HeerJeet

      6. I had tended to discount such articles because, based on 2008/2012, I assumed Dems would run super competent campaign (GOTV etc).

      8 replies 11 retweets 111 likes
    5. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 23 Apr 2017
      Replying to @HeerJeet

      7. In Dem primaries I preferred Sanders for political reasons but thought (wrongly) that Clinton had better shot at winning presidency

      24 replies 15 retweets 165 likes
    6. Kevin Collins‏ @kwcollins 23 Apr 2017
      Replying to @HeerJeet

      That HRC lost does not mean Sanders would have done better. Possible outcomes including large anti-Sanders oppo drop and Bloomberg entry

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    7. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 23 Apr 2017
      Replying to @kwcollins

      See link on tweet #4.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Kevin Collins‏ @kwcollins 23 Apr 2017
      Replying to @HeerJeet

      I don't find that a compelling argument. HRC didn't unleash the treasure trove of oppo on Sanders, so his polling didn't reflect that info

      1 reply 2 retweets 3 likes
    9. Kevin Collins‏ @kwcollins 23 Apr 2017
      Replying to @kwcollins @HeerJeet

      But of course Trump and the RNC would have no such reservations. As a result, poll-based arguments don't reflect the likely outcome

      1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
    10. Kevin Collins‏ @kwcollins 23 Apr 2017
      Replying to @kwcollins @HeerJeet

      And by oppo, I mean the facts about Sanders summarized in point 2 here http://www.newsweek.com/myths-cost-democrats-presidential-election-521044 …

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 23 Apr 2017
      Replying to @kwcollins

      The oppo on Trump (including "grab them by the pussy" tape) had negligible impact, so likely same on Sanders.

      10:58 AM - 23 Apr 2017
      • 1 Retweet
      • 2 Likes
      • BenjaminCraft-Rendon james b satterwhite
      3 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Kevin Collins‏ @kwcollins 23 Apr 2017
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          What's the basis of your claim it had a negligible impact, beyond the fact that the impact was not quite enough to keep him from winning?

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. AnnPS‏ @polipi17 23 Apr 2017
          Replying to @kwcollins @HeerJeet

          538 polling in fact DID show sharp drop for Trump, but 1) enough time passed before election for recovery & 2) hit on HRC happened.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. Kevin Collins‏ @kwcollins 23 Apr 2017
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          Furthermore, the oppo on Trump advanced the image people had of him (crude, sexist), while the oppo on Sanders undermines prior image

          2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. Jeet Heer‏Verified account @HeerJeet 23 Apr 2017
          Replying to @kwcollins

          Karp's summary of the political science literature is pretty compelling. Last minute dumps don't matter unless people already don't like you

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. ddouglas  🌻‏ @dd9000 23 Apr 2017
          Replying to @HeerJeet

          Because a loud, obnoxious, old white guy with one simple message/fix for everything gets a pass smart woman doesn't. @kwcollins

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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