1. Building on this @joshtpm twitter essay, I want to think about Trumpism after Trump:https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/753048410618470400 …
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Replying to @HeerJeet
2. I'm pretty confident Trump is going to lose, because of demographics, the groups he's insulted, & his own lack of discipline.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
3. But Trump has shown how vulnerable the American system is to a demagogue & it's possible that a FutureTrump could win.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
4. Trump's an undisciplined demagogue. He spews garbage & if the crowd likes some of it, he keeps repeating it.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
5. Looking back, the Mexican rapists stuff was only a small part of Trump's first speech. But it made a splash, so Trump kept at it.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
6. But imagine a slightly more disciplined Trump, one that worked not by instinct but had a plan: FutureTrump.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
7. The Mexican rapists remarks won Trump his first big cluster of support but it also cost him in long run: Latinos are a big demographic.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
8. FutureTrump would be more streamlined & strategic: instead of focusing on Latinos (17% of population) focus on a smaller group.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
9. Imagine FutureTrump focusing on, say, Muslim Americans. And creating wedges between them & other groups.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
10. FutureTrump would say: "I'm here to protect real Americans, including LGBT & Latinos, from the Muslim enemy within."
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11. There'd still be some resistance to FutureTrump, but it would be more divided than the opposition to actually existing Trump.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
12. Now imagine a FutureTrump in a year where the economy is weaker or the Democrats more divided. FutureTrump could win.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
13. Trump has proven American democracy is much more vulnerable to demagogues than one would like. He's presumptive nominee of a big party
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