1. Gut check time. How confident am I that Trump is going to lose?
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Game theory says: better to say Trump will win. Nothing will happen to you if you're wrong and you'll get plaudits if you're right
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the problem is all the mud's already been slung. Dukakis was pretty much unknown.
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what do you think about possibility(probability?) that Trump supporters are lying about whom they intend to vote for?
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7. But Hillary Clinton is not Dukakis. She's a very effective counterpunch, and has weathered worse foes than Trump. So: very confident.
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Also party ID is more solid. Democrats/Democratic Leaners aren't going to flip to Trump.
End of conversation
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Trump may be in Dukakis' place; he's the 1 challenging a popular incumbent pres. and a "meh" successor candidate; he had his bump
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Feel like Bernie may have been a more analogous potential Dukakis. More of a national unknown. Love her or hate her, she's Hillary
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but Bush did also lead Dukakis by 12 a few months earlier. Was a very fluid race.
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Sorry. I was very aware during that time frame. Dukakis was no better off at the beginning. Only hiccup was Iran-Contra hearings.
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wouldn't the polarization of party politics in last 20 years make a 1988 redo even less likely?
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