12. For me, one lesson from Ford is that there is part of electorate that is just not persuadable. Fortunately it's not the majority.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
13. You couldn't diminish that core Ford vote, only contain it (which is why John Tory won as anybody-but-Ford umbrella candidate).
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Replying to @HeerJeet
14. So lesson from Ford is: don't try to persuade Trumpkins, contain them and build coalition around them.
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15 Problem for GOP is Trumpkins are so large a part of party they can't be contained. Trump's ceiling could be north of 50%.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
16. But general electorate is (thank god) very different than GOP electorate. Enough negative stuff on Trump to make him toxic to +60%
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Replying to @HeerJeet
17. Containing Trump means not leaving negative campaigning till last minute like GOP rivals.
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18. Containing Trump means bringing up all the stuff GOP rivals brought up too late: Trump U, shaky finances, criminal connections, etc.
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19. But in containing Trump you have to realize that maybe 25% or 30% of electorate will support him no matter what.
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20. You could find a video of Trump smoking crack with underaged girls coerced into sex work & he'd still get that 25% support.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
@HeerJeet@DouthatNYT There was never a Peak Ford, either. It was always about picking at grievances and creating civic entropy.0 replies 0 retweets 2 likesThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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