23. Think about the people hurt by Trump's bankruptcies & his dubious Trump University. Would make for many, many ads.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
24. Will Trump get some white working class vote that might go to Dems? Maybe, but not so many after "When Trump Came to Town" ads.
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25. But aside from political vulnerability, there is psychological vulnerability. Trump goes off the handle when he's criticized by a woman
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26. Hillary Clinton would get under Trump's skin & if she's not nominee, Elizabeth Warren, Nancy Pelosi, Barbara Boxer are good surrogates
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27. Trust me on this: guys like Trump psychologically implode when women laugh at them. Wouldn't be hard to find Democratic women to do that
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28. Finally there is argument that Trump will pivot to the center & thus win voters he's currently unpopular with. He'll try but won't work
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29. A pivot to the center would only work if there weren't many videos of Trump denigrating immigrants, women, and out right lying.
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30. Trump's problem is he's too memorable, too colorful, to pivot. Once you hear his Mexican rapists comments you don't forget it.
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31. To put Trump's general elections prospect another way, think about difference between South Carolina GOP electorate & USA population
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32. Trump won in South Carolina. State is 63% white. But GOP electorate was 96% white. So electorate wildly unrepresentative
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33. Because South Carolina GOP electorate is 96% white, there was no incentive for rival candidates to challenge Trump on racism.
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34. In general election, Trump will not face an electorate that is 96% white. USA is 62% white, electorate will be maybe 70% white.
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35. So all the things that allowed Trump to win a plurality of a very white electorate will suddenly turn off 30% voters (at minimum).
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