4. Trump has a strong base inside GOP that will follow him to their death, but also many who can't stand him.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
5. To put it in specific terms: if Trump is nominee, could two living GOP presidents George H.W. Bush & George W. Bush vote for him?
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Replying to @HeerJeet
6. There will be a chunk of GOP electorate who think Trump is unfit to be president. They might not vote for Clinton but could stay home.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
7. That Huffington Post article speculates Trump would win states in upper mid-west: 2 states GOP hasn't won since 1988, 1 since 1984.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
8. The broader national demographics are this; every presidential election the electorate is 2 percentage points less white than before.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
9. Romney in 2012 got 59% of the white vote and lost. So Trump would need to make up both the loss & increase in non-white vote: say, 63%
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Replying to @HeerJeet
10. So Trump would need to win a Reagan 1984 style landslide among whites, but is a much more polorizing figure than Reagan.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
11. Trump fans like to think he won't need 63% or more of white vote because they think he can chip off black voters from Dem. A fantasy.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
12. Idea that Trump can win over black voters ignores fact he's an Obama birther & Obama is around to remind black voters of that.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
13. Aside from being an Obama birther, Trump called for the execution of 5 black men (Central Park 5) for crime they did not commit.
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14. Latinos typically vote in lower percentages than blacks and whites. But Trump as candidate will mobilize Latinos as never before.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
15. Also, Trump getting 63% of white vote means getting 60% plus of white women. His misogyny has barely been a campaign issue.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
16. If you look at GOP race, Trump has not been attacked on racism & sexism. He has been attacked for "not being a conservative"
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