1. After last nights GOP, it's clear that Trump can't become GOP nominee, no matter how the vote goes in coming primaries.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
2. Trump on national TV said the last GOP president lied about Iraq War. There's no way in hell party can unite behind Trump.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
3. Back in the halcyon days of January, it looked like elements of GOP might reach peace with Trump to ward off worse possibility of Cruz
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Replying to @HeerJeet
4. With Trump now not only saying Iraq war was mistake (others in GOP agree) but that Bush lied, Trump has put himself beyond the pale.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
5. What helps Trump is that although he's by far the front runner, he's not yet close to 50%. So: if party unites, Trumpism is minority
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Replying to @HeerJeet
6. Party uniting against Trump means of course, cutting some sort of deal with Cruz. But that really seems lesser of two evils now.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
7. If Cruz continues to tie up the evangelical vote, he'll have great leverage in anti-Trump coalition.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
8. The key here is that Trump isn't yet at 50%. With negative ads, they can keep his ceiling at about 35%.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
9. There is core of Trump supporters who will back him no matter what. Killing people on 5th ave, as he said. But that's about 25% of GOP
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10. RT @DouthatNYT The dynamic you're describing already existed before last night's comments. But the collective action problem remains.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
11.
@DouthatNYT of course right: logic of needing to oppose Trump around for a long time but party too fragmented to do it.4 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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