Still expect the last non-Trump standing to consolidate the party behind him and win. But I'm chastened because none of us saw this coming.
@jonathanchait @brianbeutler Fair enough. Trump has outperformed my expectations. I thought he'd hold steady at 30%
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@HeerJeet@jonathanchait@brianbeutler In July I wrote Trump was more serious than folks thought based on hiring. https://mjirvine.wordpress.com/2015/07/09/2016-presidential-staffers-a-look-at-the-data/ … -
@HeerJeet@jonathanchait@brianbeutler Now I think we need a story of why his support will drop off, if we think it will (I don't).
End of conversation
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