1. Gut check time. Do I think Trump is going to win the GOP nomination? No, I still don't think so but I also think it can't be ruled out.
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8. Agree
@NateSilver538 has made most cogent arguments for discounting Trump's polling lead.https://twitter.com/amlamey/status/669693449931657216 … -
@HeerJeet@NateSilver538 perhaps leading polls but losing nomination in some way weirdly *benefits* Trump
End of conversation
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