1. Gut check time. Do I think Trump is going to win the GOP nomination? No, I still don't think so but I also think it can't be ruled out.
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7. Trump is really running a campaign on the cheap, with no real GOTV effort, ad buys. Depending on free publicity of media. Is that enough?
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8. Agree
@NateSilver538 has made most cogent arguments for discounting Trump's polling lead.https://twitter.com/amlamey/status/669693449931657216 … - Show replies
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@HeerJeet This piece also suggests winning requires more than polls:http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dear-media-stop-freaking-out-about-donald-trumps-polls/ …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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