1. Gut check time. Do I think Trump is going to win the GOP nomination? No, I still don't think so but I also think it can't be ruled out.
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4. Goldwater was a figurehead, supported by people who had long being in GOP, knew the rules, had chits they could cash (Cliff White types)
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5. Goldwater stood at the head of a genuine movement. Trump, so far, has only a personality cult. So Trump could be more transitory.
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