1. Time for a little self-criticism session. I thought Trump's attack on Carson would hurt Trump. Looks like I was wrong.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
2. In my defence, I'll say I've been more bullish on Trump than most pundits. I've argued he has solid base of 20-25% of GOP that would hold
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Replying to @HeerJeet
3. And in earlier cases where Trump went after big figure (McCain, Kelley) I thought his base would stick with him
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Replying to @HeerJeet
4. So why did I think Carson attack was different. In part because Trump was dented (albeit slightly) by feud with Fiorina.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
5. So I thought GOP voters don't mind Trump going after loser establishment types (McCain, Jeb) but didn't like attack on likeable candidate
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Replying to @HeerJeet
6. And Carson is very beloved in GOP, even by people who won't vote for him. Rubio too, to a lesser extent. So attack seemed tone deaf.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
7. Anyways, I underestimated both resilience of Trump's appeal and also part of its nature. That irrational belligerence appeals to base.
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Replying to @marktcameron
@marktcameron Right but by "base" I meant Trump "base." Also I'd way white lower middle class rather than white working class.1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
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@marktcameron Also, while Trump doesn't have a commanding lead among college educated GOP, he's still tied as front-runner with Carson.
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