1. The conventional wisdom is that eventually Trump will burn out or leave, and "party will decide" either Bush, Rubio, or Kasich.
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@HeerJeet personification of the 27% rule -
@melbacoast@HeerJeet The 27% rule? - Show replies
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@HeerJeet The real question that can’t be answered until New Hampshire. Do people under or over report Trump support in polls vs turnout?Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@HeerJeet bingo. But will that 30% actually SHOW UP TO VOTE/caucus?Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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12. If Trump's floor is 25%, he can stay in for a long time and do damage by preventing a consensus candidate from emerging
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@HeerJeet In that case, Romney pulls a Harding.
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@HeerJeet hypothetical ceiling... Hypothetical floor.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@HeerJeet No winner take all states at first but 25-30% could win some of those. Also rack up delegates in proportional states.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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