3. One reason to think Trump will go 3rd party is he emphasize from time to time GOP heterodoxy: on single payer, opposition to Iraq war.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
4. A credible Trump 3rd party run would have to siphon some support from Dems as well as GOP. Hence keeps saying he opposed Iraq war.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
5. After the first GOP debate, the party is in a curious place. There is no frontrunner. Trump is polling front-runner but he's indigestible
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Replying to @HeerJeet
6. In 2012, Romney was always the likeliest GOP nominee even when he trailed in polls. He had a pathway to nomination. Not clear this time.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
@HeerJeet They wanted to set up Walker, but.. https://vine.co/v/ewhOmJVeqhJ2 replies 1 retweet 0 likes -
Replying to @Downpuppy
@Downpuppy@HeerJeet The fact that liberal voters find Walker ridiculous tells you precisely nothing.2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
@hoodedu Convincing in sense I think these models accurately describe past elections. There are reasons to think Trump is anomaly
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