1. There's a general assumption that the Trump presidential bubble will burst, the way Cain/Bachmann/Gingrich bubbles did in 2011/2012.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
2. Will the Trump bubble burst? Sure, probably. But maybe not. Worth thinking about why and why not.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
3. Cain, Bachmann & Gingrich all had their moment in the sun because they appealed to populist right more than Romney did.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
4. But what eventually killed Cain, Bachmann, Gingrich was combination of their lack of $$ and personal liabilities.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
5. I think the two factors (the personal liabilities & lack of cash) should be seen as working together. Didn't have $$ to fight attacks
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Replying to @HeerJeet
6. Gingrich came closest to overturning the odds, in part because he had, for a time, sugar daddy in Sheldon Adelson.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
7. Adelson funded Gingrich enough to make him competitive in South Carolina but held back in Florida, dooming Newt to attack barrage.
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Replying to @HeerJeet
8. So question becomes: how much money does Trump really have and how much is he willing to spend.
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@robmickey Well, I know some of that stuff via Karol et al. But not sure standard models apply to Trump. He seems sui generis.
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