This tweet is sparking an interesting debate about Russian war aims and to what extent, if any, they have been scaled back. I think though that local aims of war can't be separated from Russia's larger standing in world.https://twitter.com/michaelbd/status/1508828148649058305 …
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i mean i think people (rightly) interpreted "denazification" as being at least aspirationally about regime change
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also the wording of the initial ultimatum was not joining any "rival blocs" which i think was meant to encompass the EU as well as NATO (tho i guess by not spelling it out they had the opporutnity to trade it away)
End of conversation
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If the deal being talked about now happens (big, BIG if) and UKR gets security guarantees and EU membership in return for giving up NATO then it's very hard to see it as an improvement over the status quo for Russia.
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Ukraine grants only the NATO concession, with US troops in UA instead. The other aims are not, and never were, in play.https://twitter.com/Podolyak_M/status/1508783642209931272 …
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It should be fairly obvious that this list, assuming every point is conceded by Ukraine, wouldn't make the invasion worth the geo-strategic cost that Putin must have been expecting. And therefore this list must itself smaller than the gains Putin was hoping for
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I saw a tweet saying no one other than Putin has any idea what his plans were, which I would agree with. As it is, lots of people on here have a vested interest in Putin always being tough, smart, and right - similar to Trump, they have made him their ideal and can't let him go.
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from any aggression. Implementation through a referendum & parliaments of the guarantor states.