A country can't be both sucked into a war and creating a war at the same time.
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2. Growing up in the 80s it was way more likely, every day.
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My favorite thing about this scale is the inherent failure of imagination. always reserve a 10 for the hypothetical!
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For the record, that's exactly how I felt about the risk of Trump winning in 2016: maybe a 3. I felt the risk was way too high, and I was right.
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I was in high school during Cuban Missile Crisis. This is much scarier. Today's weapons are truly apocalyptic.
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The only good that could come out of this is if it reminds people how dangerous the existence of these weapons is.
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Is that a 3 with 10 being Cuban Missile Crisis, or 10 being Able Archer?
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If we're currently at 3, what's the baseline when a nuclear superpower is not at war?
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Perhaps humans building enough nukes to wipe up the species several times over wasn't the great idea that it seemed at first.
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Both countries seem more wary of crossing the (actual) red lines than the media but the zeal for War has its own momentum
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