1. Another helpful thread from someone with real expertise in nukes. No absolute certainty but we have to understand what is likelyhttps://twitter.com/Claire_Wahlen/status/1499551011492573190 …
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There are no other options except war or selling Ukraine out. Biden, NATO and the EU have to seriously consider that dichotomy.
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Causing an actual nuclear accident would probably be an off ramp for full withdrawal. A terrible, terrible offramp to it.
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Putin must capture & control (not destroy/abandon) sections of Ukraine territory & infra (power plants, transport etc) He needs this to negotiate lifting sanctions & ceasing advances He returns/keeps some territory & gets NATO/Euro membership concessions from Ukraine
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A ceasefire will only mean that he will do it again to get more territory. There can be no permanent peace short of full withdrawal.
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Could escalation be precisely what Putin is after here? Doing something so heinous that it provokes the involvement of other countries?
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Putin's off ramp is erasing Ukraine as a nation. He's made that extremely clear. It's not a country to him.
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This should be interpreted as an attack on NATO as all neighbouring countries will be adversely affected.
#NATOINUKRAINENOW don't you think?Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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