Without strong and consistent US defense commitments to its allies and partners in the region, the odds that China addresses its revanchist claims (both large and small) via force goes up exponentially. Not to mention likely follow-on effects if we left, such as a Japanese bomb.
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Too many political economy courses and clearly not a single IR 101 class between the lot of them
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Joe is a foreign policy specialist, not an economist (he has consulted for the Biden administration). He knows all of the relevant history, and knows far more about foreign policy than both of us put together, so we should probably take his thoughts quite seriously!
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I place this level of thought experiment in the column of demanding imagining a land invasion of Japan by America to rationalize mass murder via nukes, basic hackary, China Invades Japan, Japan Nukes Beijing (they dont have nukes give em 3-6 months)
End of conversation
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Smith seems to be referring to the first two items in your parenthetical here:https://twitter.com/HeerJeet/status/1469841898038771717 …
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