BTW, every single one of the people claiming that "What if China invades Japan?" is a stupid unrealistic hypothetical is simply ignorant and uninformed, because there is a chance China might invade some Japanese islands that the U.S. has explicitly pledged to help defend.https://twitter.com/observingjapan/status/1469785188225929218 …
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USA should definitely go to war with another nuclear power over islands whose sovereignty is disputed and USA takes no position on.
11 replies 3 retweets 45 likes -
Replying to @HeerJeet @GregDjerejian and
To be clear: US position is that the islands do in fact fall under the defense treaty! Happy to discuss more, but I think that's a good thing - not b/c I care about the Senkakus, but b/c I think it increases the odds that East Asia's territorial disputes are resolved peacefully.
5 replies 1 retweet 66 likes -
Replying to @McReynoldsJoe @HeerJeet and
Without strong and consistent US defense commitments to its allies and partners in the region, the odds that China addresses its revanchist claims (both large and small) via force goes up exponentially. Not to mention likely follow-on effects if we left, such as a Japanese bomb.
6 replies 3 retweets 93 likes -
Replying to @McReynoldsJoe @HeerJeet and
Side note: IMHO there's a major cultural divide between IR pros who came up focused on the American role in the Middle East, shaped by the Iraq War, and those of us who focus on East Asia, where after the horror of Vietnam, the US has largely been a beacon of peace and stability.
6 replies 3 retweets 43 likes
"After the horrors of Vietnam" is doing a lot of work there! But it's precisely because of stability & maturity of South Korean, Taiwan & Japan (among others) that I'm not convinced USA needs to maintain outsized role.
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