Graves' polls have been on the high end for PPC among pollsters. But if he's right, then we'll see a Liberal win (maybe even majority) combined with a push for a much more right-wing politics in CPC. https://twitter.com/VoiceOfFranky/status/1439430398585548801 …
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They might very well take that lesson, but it won’t work for them the way it has for the Republicans. It would increase their vote in ridings they already win handily, and drive away centrist voters that they need to cobble together a national majority.
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I would argue that Canadians were ready for a more centrist leader (see the first two weeks of the campaign but then there was the gun, vaccine controversy and childcare position that cast doubt on his real intentions.
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That’s been my impression too. When O'Toole credibly presents himself as an authentic centrist, his polls go up. When he muddles that message by trying to simultaneously appeal to PPC voters, his polls drop, because neither centrists nor PPC voters believe that he’s authentic.
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The irony is that all of these PPC supporters are ensuring Trudeau’s reelection
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100% correct. OTooles premise is that he has to be centrist to win seat-rich Ontario.
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But those politics are poison in large parts of the country the CPC needs to win. It seems more likely that we might be in for a period of time with a more fractured right on a federal level. It's not really the US, still gotta win a bunch of moderates to win
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I'd be surprised if that would be good for them in terms of winning future elections
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Which will still be rejected by 2/3rds of the electorate
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Which will absolutely not matter unless we get rid of first past the post. They’ll drag right, absorb the PPC, and it’ll be enough to cheat past the NDP/LIB split. Again.
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