My contribution to the "Is Trump smart?" debate is that Barack Obama, Hillary Clinton, Jeb Bush, Joe Biden or Mitt Romney had been president in 2020, the USA would have had 200,000-300,000 Covid deaths, not upwards of 600,000.
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I think it thinks of itself as closest to the UK.
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I think your counterfactual attributes a control of public-health outcomes to the president that, in the US at least, s/he does not have.
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