This is what I mentioned yesterday - cases in England have started to fall steeply, just as they fell steeply in Scotland a couple of weeks ago, and before that in India.https://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/1418592323831750664 …
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Yeah, exactly.
The drop in the reproduction number that that reflects looks like an overnight national lockdown... not what you get removing a small fraction of susceptible people per day at current infection+vaccination rate.
Too early for freedom day (retail mobility data up a bit) or people going on summer vacation (workplace mobility down) to have much of an effect on today's reported infections so no clue what the net effect will be...
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